New poll shows Udall, Hickenlooper leading GOP challengers

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Gov. John Hickenlooper and Sen. Mark Udall are statistically tied with their Republican challengers according to a new poll from PPP, a Democrat-leaning firm.

WASHINGTON — An NBC News/Marist poll released Tuesday show Democrats Sen. Mark Udall and Gov. John Hickenlooper leading in their races to be re-elected in November.

With less than four months until Election Day, Udall leads Republican challenger Cory Gardner 48 percent to 41 percent, with 10 percent undecided in the survey of registered Colorado voters.

That’s a far wider lead than most public and private polls of likely voters have shown, and Republicans believe polling likely voters provides a more accurate sample of a midterm electorate where turnout is significantly less than in presidential years.

The big takeaway from the poll is something we already know: Udall’s chances of reelection go up in almost direct proportion to increased voter turnout.

Calling the Udall-Gardner match-up perhaps the “closest Senate race in the country,” political forecaster Stuart Rothenberg Tuesday tweaked his assessment of the race.

“We have had this contest rated as Leans Democrat, and we continue to believe that Udall deserves to have the advantage, both because of fundamentals and recent polling,” Rothenberg writes. “But Gardner may well be the best GOP challenger in the country, and we are moving the race to Tossup/Tilts Democrat, which better reflects the overall competitiveness of the contest.”

RELATED: NBC News Marist Poll

But Gardner still has work to do in broadening his appeal with a diversifying statewide electorate.

Udall leads among women (50 percent to 38 percent), Latinos (58 percent to 27 percent) and independents (50 percent to 34 percent).

Democrats have been hammering Gardner on women’s health issues from everything to his support for personhood and for legislation redefining rape, the subject of a new TV ad from Senate Majority PAC hitting Colorado’s airwaves Tuesday.

In the governor’s race, Hickenlooper leads GOP opponent Bob Beauprez 49 percent to 43 percent, with 7 percent undecided.

Hickenlooper also has a big advantage over Beauprez among independents, 52 percent to 35 percent. Overall, Hickenlooper’s job-approval rating is at 54 percent.

Still, lingering feelings over the new health care law give Republicans a chance. Among those polled, 52 percent said Obamacare is a bad idea, with 46 percent strongly holding that position. Only 37 percent think the law is a good idea. President Barack Obama’s approval rating is just 40 percent. Obama won the state in 2008 and 2012.

On the gun issue, 40 percent of those polled said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who believes the sale of guns should be less strict, while 52 percent say the opposite.

“In Colorado, on the gun control issue, there was a sentiment not to do much of anything. People don’t want to support someone who wants to limit (the laws); they don’t want someone who wants to weaken the restrictions,” pollster Lee Miringoff said. “It’s very polarized.”



  • Codswallop Hogwash

    It would be a tragedy for Colorado if Udall were re-elected.
    He is a useless fantasist, who appeals to other fantasists, i.e. Democrats and those too stupid to figure it out.

  • DH

    So, in other words, it’s neck in neck, but it sounds better for your readership to say that they are “ahead.” I’m not sure what the purpose of the propaganda is, but it’s not journalism. For that matter, there isn’t a news agency left with journalistic integrity.

  • Test

    Californians; coming soon to a neighborhood near you…. The destroy some of the most beautiful real estate in the world, feel forced to move out and do it all over again the next spot they land.

    • Codswallop Hogwash

      You’ve got that right, Test.
      I remember back in the ’80s, the cry was DON’T CALIFORNICATE COLORADO. Well, we have had so many idiots come into this state, we are well and truly screwed.

  • Dick Peabody

    Perhaps this poll is accurate and perhaps not, but if it is, it’s an indication that America is going the way of the Do Do bird. America will be no more once it’s broke and its people demoralized. Our enemies around the globe will finish us off. They may be jihadis or maybe they’ll be Chicoms. But for those people who believe that the marxist party of Obama/Udall/ Hick will have no ill effect on them or their children are deluding themselves. Moozlim prayer rugs and korans have been found at the southern border. They are here and they watch and wait as you stupid Americans drink your kool-aid.

  • Pootey Tang

    NBC/Marist is notoriously biased left by 5-6 Pct points. If Eli was writing this I`d take it as a I sign I should stay home and not bother to vote. All Gardner has to do is expose Udall`s record as an Obama salad tosser. We all know Hick`s record.

    • Tom Williamson

      All Udall has to do is expose Gardner’s extreme anti-women record and he’s doing just that and that is why Udall is crushing Gardner among latino, women, and independent voters. Gardner is a right wing extremist too extreme for Colorado.

      • Codswallop Hogwash

        No, the truth is that the Democrats will lie, scam and decieve Americans any way they can. Udall has distorted Gardener on that issue, and it simply is not true.
        But hey, you idiots will believe anything. You are a bunch of fantasists who cannot deal with reality, and that is who the Democrats play to.
        It has worked so well up to now, we have the WORST president in living memory – Obama. He is so bad, a blind man could see through him. But not you Kool Aid drinkers.

      • Dick Peabody

        What a joke you and communism, er, liberalism are. Extreme anti-woman record? And just what is that pray tell? Is he going to take away your contraceptives? LOL! The USSR communists, and all communists for that matter, hate God and love abortion. Look at the ChiCom one-child policy for instance. Sounds a lot like the Democrapic Party if you ask me, and not Cory Gardner who I believe wants to allow those girl babies to live. You know, the ones you want to kill through abortion.

  • NativeColoRN

    WHO’s poll is this, who was sampled? This is just wishful thinking on the part of stategists for the party of spin(DEMS). Chickenlooper id toast and Udal HAS NOTHING to point to in 6 years, except shoving the Ponzi scheme called ObamaCare down our throats.Continues to block the Keystone Pipeline. LOOK at his ads, he says nothing about accomplishments in his ads, only devisive rehetoric about women and birth control.

    • Tom Williamson

      Cory Gardner cannot run on his extreme right wing record. haha Hey Cory, you’re going to become a statewide LOSER in November just like Bob Beauprez who will become a two time statewide LOSER.

  • ColoradoCommish

    And, now another update from the “Eli Files”…. (Mr. Stokols, you really should start your own site)
    What makes this even more hilarious… Quinnipiac and Rasmussen, two polling groups with a slight lead in credibility over NBC News (The ones who edit recording tapes to alter their meanings, and then pretend that they are “Real”), have both races at “dead heats”….
    Let us simply remember that the only REAL Poll, is that one which occurs in November.

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