DENVER – ‘Congratulations, President Trump.’
The phrase is said with certainty by Professor Allan Lichtman, a man who has accurately predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1984.
Lichtman eschews polls, demographics, and his own personal political bias.
Instead, he relies on what he calls ‘Keys to the White House.’ Those include a series of true and false statements.
Lichtman fully outlines his method in his book, ‘Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House.’
A few of his many keys include the presence of a third party, the state of the economy during election season, charisma of the candidate and lack of charisma in an opponent.
This year, Lichtman says, all signs point to the Republican nominee ending up at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
Lichtman denies any political bias, saying instead that the outcomes are rooted in science.
‘As I have said for over 30 years, predictions are not endorsements. My prediction is based off a scientific system. It does not necessarily represent, in any way, shape or form, an Allan Lichtman or American University endorsement of any candidate. And of course, as a successful forecaster, I’ve predicted in almost equal measure both Republican and Democratic victories.’
Election Day is Tuesday, November 8.